NewZoo has put out some great infographics over the past several months forecasting 2018 game revenue, and it felt like time to do something with the data they have given out for free. They listed 2018 projected revenue by country and the gamer population for each of the top 13 countries in terms of market size, China, USA, Japan, South Korea, Germany, UK, France, Canada, Spain, Italy, Russia, Mexico, and Brazil.

Since we’re never content to just know the size of the market, we played with the data a little more to get the annual projected revenue per player in each of the countries. We even broke it down to a daily average per player. Of course we don’t have the numbers on what percentage is paying in each country, but these numbers should help define the ballpark size.

All of this should be taken into consideration when looking at different countries to target with your games. Previously we looked at the top languages for game localization. If you want to download the XLSX file we used for these slides, it’s available at: 2018_Gamer_Market_Tables_Thanks_NewZoo-IDEA-10-16-2018

Warface, Mail.ru’s free-to-play FPS game that launched on September 18th on the PlayStation 4, has already picked up 1.3 million PlayStation 4 players worldwide (source: Gamasutra) in its first seven days.

That number is impressive considering that’s approximately 1.5 percent of all PlayStation owners based on our extrapolation that there are roughly 86 Million PlayStation 4 Consoles worldwide as of today (the last formal numbers released were July 31st, 2018 ~82.2 Million).

Here’s the breakdown of the audience numbers that has been released by Mail.ru:

  • USA – ~20 percent – 260,000 players
  • Germany – 12.5 percent – 162,500 players
  • France – 11.2 percent – 145,600 players
  • UK – 7.7 percent – 100,100
  • Brazil – 6 percent – 78,000
  • Russia – 5 percent – 65,000

 

 

According to VentureBeat :

  • PlayStation 4 has now reached 82.2 Million units sold
  • Sony expects to sell another 13.8 Million
  • The estimate is 96 Million units sold by the end of Sony’s Q4 March 31, 2019
  • IESherpa estimates that Sony will surpass 100 Million units sold in mid-July 2019

Entertainment Software Association (ESA) and The NPD Group report that:

  • In 2017 the US video game industry generated a record $36 billion in revenue
  • In 2016 The US video game industry generated $30.4 billion in revenue
  • 2017 revenue increased by 5.6 billion up (18 percent) over 2016
  • 2017 US video game Hardware (including peripherals) was $6.9 billion
  • 2017 US video game Software (including in-game purchases and subscriptions) was $29.1 billion
  • 2016 US video game Hardware (including peripherals) was $5.8 billion
  • 2016 US video game Software (including in-game purchases and subscriptions) was $24.6 billion

 

At Unite Europe on July 10, 2017, Alden Krol gave an update on the Steam platform including features, data and plans.

Steam has:

67 Million Monthly Active Players (MAU)

33 Million Daily Active Players (DAU)

1.5 million new accounts per month (making a purchase)

Regional Breakdown

North America 34%
Latin America 3%
Russian Territories 5%
Oceania (Australia, New Zealand) 4%
Western Europe 29%
Asia 17%
Other (Middle East, Africa, Rest of World) 8%

Zorka.mobi and Adjust released a report on the Russian mobile market for games. You can get the report here.

  • The total revenue of the Russian gaming industry was $1.4 billion USD in 2016 (Source: NewZoo)
  • Russian mobile game revenue was $699.3 million USD in 2016.
  • It’s expected to grow at a CAGR of 12.5% per year
  • Russia has 152,528,000 Gamers
  • 80% of Russian Gamers are Male
  • The Russian mobile market average ARPU is $4.90 USD
  • Android users are retained longer, but monetize less than iOS
  • iOS TOP-10 – 25,000 daily installs (need 80,000 installs in 3-5 days to chart)
  • Android TOP-10 – 40,000 daily installs (need 150,000 installs in 3-5 days to chart)

DFC Intelligence predicts 2016 game software sales to reach $79 billion. This is 8% higher than 2015.

  • Video Game Software Sales will be $98 billion in 2020
  • The market is seeing a CAGR of more than 5 percent
  • The PC Game Market in Asia, North America and Europe will grow to $40 billion by 2020
  • The PC Game Market in Asia, North America and Europe was $30 billion in 2015

Digitimes Research has checked with component manufacturers and released estimates on console shipments for 2016:

  • Nintendo NX, which will launch in Q2 2016 is expected to ship 10-12 Million units in 2016
  • Xbox One is expected to ship 13 Million units in 2016
  • PlayStation 4 is expected to ship 18 Million units in 2016

TrendForce Forecasts VR Market Value to Hit US$70 Billion in 2020

  • The market for VR hardware is predicted to be $20 Billion in 2020
  • The market for VR software is predicted to be $50 Billion in 2020
  • The total VR market for software and hardware will be $6.7 billion in 2016

VR Market Forecast

India is clearly the next untapped market for games. I’ve heard a lot of interesting figures lately, but the market is dominated in the mobile space by Android at around 73 percent of the addressable market. I’ve also heard that India is also more accustomed to subscription based games and micro-transactions are something they are getting more comfortable with, so expect micro-transaction models to grow. Other interesting data includes:

  • The market for Digital Games in India is $853.9 Million in 2015
  • Mobile is 49 percent of the market, or around $416 Million today
  • Mobile is growing at a 64 percent growth rate year-over-year
  • By 2015, the mobile market for games in India is expected to be around $832 Million
  • There are approximately 185 Million mobile gamers in India in 2015
  • ARPPU in India for mobile games in October 2015 was $13.07 with a 1.53 percent conversion rate from player to payer
  • Digital console is 2.7% of the market today
  • MMO games are 28 percent of the market, with Free-to-Play MMO games comprising 21 percent of the total market
  • Cost-per-install in India is $0.74 for Android
  • Cost-per-install in India is $1.26 for iOS