IDCput out a new research report “The Worldwide Video Game and Entertainment Console Hardware and Packaged Software 2012–2016 Forecast” with some interesting takeaways from analyst Lewis Ward, including:
PS3 has shipped an estimated 77 million bundles
Xbox360 has shipped approximately 76 million bundles
Nintendo’s Wii U will exceed 50 million bundles by year-end 2016
The volume of packaged game discs shipped will decline an average of roughly 3% per year through 2016
Eighth-generation console tie ratios will be approximately 25% lower than the tie ratios of seventh- or current-generation consoles
IESherpa Opinion – Although the number of physical games bought will decline, the number of digital games will likely increase at a faster rate, resulting in net growth for the games industry overall. Either way, we have another three years to see if this is correct and a lot can happen between now and then.
Icon, a self-publisher of iOS, WiiWare and PSP games released some numbers which I think could be useful to other developers and publishers:
Richard Hill-Whittall commented,”Alas a lot of the bigger numbers were free downloads/free promotions, but even so – I was really pleased with the numbers. I thought I’d share them – and as such they are included below broken down into the different formats – iOS, PSP & WiiWare. I didn’t include PC as the numbers really aren’t worth including (probably about 20 units total!).”
iOS Bashi Blocks
Family Games Fun
WiiWare Soccer Bashi
Arcade Air Hockey & Bowling
Arcade Pool & Snooker
Pool Hall Pro
GRAND TOTAL: 255,763
Nintendo today announced that they sold 2.7 million Wii™ and Nintendo DS™ systems in November. This includes:
1.2 million Wii systems
More than 1.5 million Nintendo DS systems
“According to our internal numbers, Nintendo sold 600,000 Wii systems during Thanksgiving Week alone, an increase of 50,000 over 2009,” said Charlie Scibetta, Nintendo of America’s senior director of Corporate Communications.
MCV reported that the Nintendo DS now has an install base of 113.48 Million units worldwide. This is an increase of 13% since March 6th, 2009. The DS has been selling at a rate of two to one for every Wii sold over the past six months.
According to NPD, October saw the following hardware sales in the U.S.:
Wii – 507,000 units
PlayStation 3 (PS3) – 321,00 units
Xbox 360 – 250,000 units
We would expect all of these numbers to rise for the holidays. While Wii is selling pretty well, the deep discounting retailers are putting on bundles, including $300 configurations for PS3 and 360 will push those platforms for the holidays. Also, given the fact that the $300 price point was where the PS2 really took off as a DVD player that also played games a decade ago, the Blu-ray capabilities of the PS3 are now priced at a mainstream consumer price where we should see adoption increase. It’s not a cheap Blu-ray system and will likely benefit from Blu-ray movie discounting this holiday season, as well as inexpensive HDTVs.
According to Microsoft, the install base of the Xbox 360 is now nearly 34 Million units worldwide. This is an increase of 3 Million since August. The company also stated that Xbox Live revenues are up 50% over a year ago. This means more online gamers to sell to, which is great for digital distribution’s continuing growth. The attach rate is now 8.7 units per system, which is more than three times that of the Nintendo Wii.